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Saflok is an electronic door lock system made in Troy, Michigan, and used in modern hotels and other establishments. To open a door, you must insert the electronic card into the lock slip. Then a green light indicates that you can turn the handle and enter; a yellow light indicates that the door is locked from inside, and you cannot enter. Suppose that 90% of the time when the card is inserted, the door should open because it is not locked from inside. When the door should open, a green light will appear with probability 0.98. When the door should not open, a green light may still appear (an electronic error) 5% of the time. Suppose that you just inserted the card and the light is green. What is the probability that the door will actually open?

Saflok is an electronic door lock system made in Troy, Michigan, and used in modern hotels and other establishments. To open a door, you must insert the electronic card into the lock slip. Then a green light indicates that you can turn the handle and enter; a yellow light indicates that the door is locked from inside, and you cannot enter. Suppose that 90% of the time when the card is inserted, the door should open because it is not locked from inside. When the door should open, a green light will appear with probability 0.98. When the door should not open, a green light may still appear (an electronic error) 5% of the time. Suppose that you just inserted the card and the light is green. What is the probability that the door will actually open?

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